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DRAWING MULTISETS OF BALLS FROM TENABLE BALANCED LINEAR URNS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 March 2013

Hosam M. Mahmoud*
Affiliation:
The George Washington University, Washington, D.C. 20052, USA E-mail: hosam@gwu.edu

Abstract

We investigate the evolution of an urn of balls of two colors, where one chooses a pair of balls and observes rules of ball addition according to the outcome. A nonsquare ball addition matrix of the form $\left( \matrix{a & b \cr c & d \cr e & f}\right)$ corresponds to such a scheme, in contrast to pólya urn models that possess a square ball addition matrix. We look into the case of constant row sum (the so-called balanced urns) and identify a linear case therein. Two cases arise in linear urns: the nondegenerate and the degenerate. Via martingales, in the nondegenerate case one gets an asymptotic normal distribution for the number of balls of any color. In the degenerate case, a simpler probability structure underlies the process. We mention in passing a heuristic for the average-case analysis for the general case of constant row sum.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013

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