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ON DETERMINISTIC FINITE STATE MACHINES IN RANDOM ENVIRONMENTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 December 2018

Joel Ratsaby
Joel Ratsaby*
Affiliation:
Electrical and Electronics Engineering Department, Ariel University, Ariel 40700, Israel E-mail: ratsaby@ariel.ac.il
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Abstract

The general problem under investigation is to understand how the complexity of a system which has been adapted to its random environment affects the level of randomness of its output (which is a function of its random input). In this paper, we consider a specific instance of this problem in which a deterministic finite-state decision system operates in a random environment that is modeled by a binary Markov chain. The system interacts with it by trying to match states of inactivity (represented by 0). Matching means that the system selects the (t + 1)th bit from the Markov chain whenever it predicts at time t that the environment will take a 0 value. The actual value at time t + 1 may be 0 or 1 thus the selected sequence of bits (which forms the system's output) may have both binary values. To try to predict well, the system's decision function is inferred based on a sample of the random environment.

We are interested in assessing how non-random the output sequence may be. To do that, we apply the adapted system on a second random sample of the environment and derive an upper bound on the deviation between the average number of 1 bit in the output sequence and the probability of a 1. The bound shows that the complexity of the system has a direct effect on this deviation and hence on how non-random the output sequence may be. The bound takes the form of $O(\sqrt {(2^k/n} ))$ where 2k is the complexity of the system and n is the length of the second sample.

Keywords

prediction of random binary sequenceMarkov chainsubsequence selectionfrequency instability
Type
Research Article
Information
Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences , Volume 33 , Issue 4 , October 2019 , pp. 528 - 563
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2018 

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