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It’s the Pandemic, Stupid! A Simplified Model for Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 October 2020

Alan I. Abramowitz*
Affiliation:
Emory University

Abstract

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Type
Forecasting the 2020 US Elections
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

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References

REFERENCES

Abramowitz, Alan I. 2016. “Will Time for Change Mean Time for Trump?PS: Political Science & Politics 49 (4): 659–60.Google Scholar
Abramowitz, Alan I. 2020. “Replication Data for: It’s the Pandemic, Stupid: A Simplified Model for Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election.Harvard Dataverse. doi:10.7910/DVN/NQWLFH.Google Scholar
Jones, Jeffrey M. 2020. “Trump Job Approval Sets New Record for Polarization.” Gallup Poll News, January 16. Available at https://news.gallup.com/poll/245996/trump-job-approval-sets-new-record-polarization.aspx.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Abramowitz Dataset

Link