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The Political Economy Model: 2016 US Election Forecasts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2016

Michael S. Lewis-Beck  and
Charles Tien
Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Affiliation:
University of Iowa
Charles Tien
Affiliation:
Hunter College & The Graduate Center, CUNY
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Abstract

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Type
Symposium: Forecasting the 2016 American National Elections
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 49 , Special Issue 4: Elections in Focus , October 2016 , pp. 661 - 663
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2016 

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References

REFERENCES

Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1982. “Presidential Popularity and Presidential Vote.” Public Opinion Quarterly 46 (4): 534–537.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1984. “Forecasting Presidential Elections: A Comparison of Naive Models.” Political Behavior 6 (1): 9–21.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1984. “Forecasting U.S. House Elections.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 9 (3): 475–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Rice, Tom W.. 1985. “Are Senate Elections Predictable?” PS: Political Science & Politics 18 (4): 745–54.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Tien, Charles. 1996. “The Future in Forecasting: Prospective Presidential Models.” American Politics Quarterly 24 (4): 468–91.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Tien, Charles. 2008. “The Job of President and the Jobs Model Forecast: Obama for ’08?” PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (4): 687–90.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Tien, Charles. 2010. “The Referendum Model: A 2010 Congressional Forecast.” PS: Political Science &Politics 43 (4): 637–38.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S. and Tien, Charles. 2015. “Forecasting Lessons from 2014: Long Lead, Strong Theory, No Polls.” PS: Political Science & Politics 48 (4): 297–98.Google Scholar