Hostname: page-component-7479d7b7d-wxhwt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-15T02:39:58.987Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Blue Wave: Assessing Political Advertising Trends and Democratic Advantages in 2018

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 September 2019

Erika Franklin Fowler
Affiliation:
Wesleyan University
Michael M. Franz
Affiliation:
Bowdoin College
Travis N. Ridout
Affiliation:
Washington State University

Abstract

This research offers a post-mortem on political advertising in 2018, providing important context for 2018’s “blue wave.” In a majority of US House of Representatives races, there were more pro-Democratic than pro-Republican ads, including in the most competitive contests. The one theme that united pro-Democratic advertising was health care, which was mentioned in nearly three of every five Democratic ads in the fall campaign. Contrary to the narrative that television is declining, a record number of television ads aired in the 2018 midterms, whereas digital spending still constituted a small percentage of overall advertising spending for most candidate campaigns. Finally, there was a healthy volume of outside-group spending in 2018, with “dark-money” groups increasing their involvement—especially in support of Democratic candidates.

Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2019 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Cillizza, Chris. 2018. “Yes, 2018 Was a Massive Democratic Wave. Here’s the Proof.” CNN. Available at www.cnn.com/2018/11/26/politics/2018-midterms-democratic-wave/index.html.Google Scholar
Duffy, Jennifer, Wasserman, Dave, and Flinn, Ally. 2018. “50 Interesting Facts about the 2018 Election.” Cook Political Report. Available at www.cookpolitical.com/index.php/analysis/national/national-politics/50-interesting-facts-about-2018-election.Google Scholar
Gerber, Alan, Gimpel, James G., Green, Donald P., and Shaw, Daron R.. 2011. “How Large and Long-Lasting Are the Persuasive Effects of Televised Campaign Ads? Results from a Randomized Field Experiment.” American Political Science Review 105 (1): 135–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldstein, Ken, and Freedman, Paul. 2002. “Lessons Learned: Campaign Advertising in the 2000 Elections.” Political Communication 19 (1): 528.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gollust, Sarah E., Barry, Colleen L., Niederdeppe, Jeff, Baum, Laura, and Fowler, Erika Franklin. 2014. “First Impressions: Geographic Variation in Media Messages during the First Phase of the ACA Implementation.” Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 39 (6): 1253–62.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hindman, Matthew. 2018. The Internet Trap: How the Digital Economy Builds Monopolies and Undermines Democracy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Huber, Gregory A., and Arceneaux, Kevin. 2007. “Identifying the Persuasive Effects of Presidential Advertising.” American Journal of Political Science 51 (4): 957–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Joseph, Ayanna, Lepelstat, Lance, Russell, Jessi, and Sullivan, Ben. 2018. “Wesleyan Media Project Student Analysis: Health Care in Advertising.” Wesleyan University. Available at http://mediaproject.wesleyan.edu/releases/issues-110518/#labreports.Google Scholar
Kalla, Joshua, and Broockman, David. 2017. “The Minimal Persuasive Effects of Campaign Contact in General Elections: Evidence from 49 Field Experiments.” American Political Science Review 112 (1): 148–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kamarck, Elaine, and Podkul, Alexander R.. 2018. “The 2018 Primaries Project: Introduction to the Candidates.” Brookings (blog). Available at www.brookings.edu/research/the-2018-primaries-project-introduction-to-the-candidates.Google Scholar
Kreiss, Daniel, Lawrence, Regina G., and McGregor, Shannon C.. 2018. “In Their Own Words: Political Practitioner Accounts of Candidates, Audiences, Affordances, Genres, and Timing in Strategic Social Media Use.” Political Communication 35 (1): 831.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nyhan, Brendan, McGhee, Eric, Sides, John, Masket, Seth, and Greene, Steven. 2012. “One Vote out of Step? The Effects of Salient Roll Call Votes in the 2010 Election.” American Politics Research 40 (5): 844–79.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Petrocik, John R. 1996. “Issue Ownership in Presidential Elections, with a 1980 Case Study.” American Journal of Political Science 40 (3): 825–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ridout, Travis N., and Franz, Michael M.. 2011. The Persuasive Power of Campaign Advertising. Philadelphia: Temple University Press.Google Scholar
Zaller, John. 1996. “The Myth of Massive Media Impact Revived: New Support for a Discredited Idea.” In Political Persuasion and Attitude Change, ed. Mutz, Diana and Sniderman, Paul M., 1778. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Fowler et al. supplementary material

Fowler et al. supplementary material 1

Download Fowler et al. supplementary material(File)
File 40.1 KB
Supplementary material: PDF

Fowler et al. supplementary material

Fowler et al. supplementary material 2

Download Fowler et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 300.9 KB