Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-94fs2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-18T03:59:45.923Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

The Seats in Trouble Forecast of the 2010 Elections to the U.S. House

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 October 2010

James E. Campbell
James E. Campbell
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Extract

All indications are that 2010 will be a very good year for Republicans. After two election setbacks, they are poised for a comeback. Partisanship, ideology, the midterm decline from the prior presidential surge, the partisanship of districts being defended, and even President Obama's approval ratings have set the stage for significant seat gains by Republicans in the House.

Type
Symposium
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 43 , Issue 4 , October 2010 , pp. 627 - 630
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Campbell, Angus. 1960. “Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change.” Public Opinion Quarterly 24 (3): 397–418CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1997. The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections. 2nd ed. Lexington: University Press of Kentucky.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2006. “Party Systems and Realignments in the United States, 1868–2004.” Social Science History 30 (3): 359–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2007. “Polarization Runs Deep, Even by Yesterday's Standards.” In Red and Blue Nation? Characteristics and Causes of America's Polarized Politics, ed. Nivola, Pietro S. and Brady, David W., 106–16. Washington, DC: Brookings.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. Forthcoming. “Explaining Politics, Not Polls: Examining Macropartisanship with Recalibrated NES Data.” Public Opinion Quarterly.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E., and Wink, Kenneth A.. 1990. “Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote.” American Politics Quarterly 18 (3): 251–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cook, Charlie. 2010. The Cook Political Report. http://www.cookpolitical.com/.Google Scholar
Gallup. 2010. “Party Affiliation” http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/Party-Affiliation.aspx.Google Scholar
Jones, Jeffrey M. 2010a. “Near-Record 49% Say Democratic Party ‘Too Liberal’.” Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/139877/Near-Record-Say-Democratic-Party-Liberal.aspx.Google Scholar
Jones, Jeffrey M. 2010b. “Republicans' Midterm Voting Enthusiasm Tops Prior Years.” Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/140819/Republicans-Midterm-Voting-Enthusiasm-Tops-Prior-Years.aspx.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 1987. “Under Way and Here to Stay: Party Realignment in the 1980s?” Public Opinion Quarterly 51 (3): 376–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oppenheimer, Bruce I., Stimson, James A., and Waterman, Richard W.. 1986. “Interpreting U.S. Congressional Elections: The Exposure Thesis.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 11: 227–47.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Paulson, Arthur. 2006. Electoral Realignment and the Outlook for American Democracy. Boston: Northeastern University Press.Google Scholar
Saad, Lydia. 2010. “In 2010, Conservatives Still Outnumber Moderates, Liberals.” Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/141032/2010-Conservatives-Outnumber-Moderates-Liberals.aspx.Google Scholar
Tufte, Edward R. 1978. Political Control of the Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
U.S. House of Representatives, Office of the Clerk. 2010. “Party Divisions of the House of Representatives (1789 to Present).” http://clerk.house.gov/art_history/house_history/partyDiv.html.Google Scholar