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Chapter 7 - Why Is “Planning Development” Necessary?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 September 2020

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Summary

Unless India initiates a well-planned program to increase GDP growth to 8–9% on a sustained basis, we believe that the expanding work force could become an increasing threat to social stability.

— Morgan Stanley (2006, 28)

One important implication of the discussion in the previous chapters is that, in general, many developing countries find it difficult to run on a balanced development path. Achieving structural equilibrium between investment and consumption and noninflationary economic development is vital for developing countries, although virtually impossible. For developing countries under pressure to accept the effects (good and bad) of globalization, introduce market reforms, and reduce the role of government, the political obstacles to development are phenomenal. Achieving inclusive growth in these circumstances is not easy. Amsden (2007) argues provocatively that the more freedom a developing country has to shape its own policies, the faster its economy will grow.

As Keynes (1936, 320) argued, “the duty of ordering the current volume of investment cannot safely be left in private hands.” For this reason, the strategy of full employment based on stepping up investment requires “planning”, a term that, unfortunately, has acquired a bad name (see, for example, Easterly 2006, 2008), although it is done everywhere. Indeed, most, if not all, medium- and long-term development plans of both developed and developing countries specify the amount of total (public) investment as well as the allocation across sectors. For example, Malaysia's Ninth Five-Year Plan, 2006–2010, and the Third Industrial Master Plan, 2006–2020, contain policies to push its industry up the value chain and have well-defined targets in terms of growth rates and sectors’ shares in output. Through the Malaysian Industrial Development Authority, the government executes policies and initiatives intended to shape an industrial base to face the future challenges of the country. The authority assumes the key roles of planning, coordinating, and promoting the growth of industries in the manufacturing sector (also, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics [PIDE 2006] for a development plan for Pakistan).

A balanced development path requires coherent planning, not only of the forthcoming volume of investment but also of the composition of investment (sectors and types of goods), which must be directed purposefully toward the breaking of bottlenecks in supply.

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Inclusive Growth, Full Employment, and Structural Change
Implications and Policies for Developing Asia
, pp. 69 - 74
Publisher: Anthem Press
Print publication year: 2010

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