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2 - Explaining asymmetric conflict outcomes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 August 2009

Ivan Arreguín-Toft
Affiliation:
Harvard University, Massachusetts
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Summary

I'm a speed demon, I'm a brain fighter, I'm scientific, I'm artistic, I plan my strategy. He's a bull, I'm a matador …

Muhammad Ali, Zaire (1974) in Gast (1996)

[T]aking practical account of the area we wished to deliver … I began idly to calculate how many square miles: sixty: eighty: one hundred: perhaps one hundred and forty thousand square miles. And how would the Turk defend all that? No doubt by a trench line across the bottom, if we came like an army with banners; but suppose we were (as we might be) an influence, an idea, a thing intangible, invulnerable, without front or back, drifting about like a gas? Armies were like plants, immobile, firm-rooted, nourished through long stems to the head. We might be a vapour, blowing where we listed. Our kingdoms lay in each man's mind; and as we wanted nothing material to live on, so we might offer nothing material to the killing. It seemed a regular soldier might be helpless without a target, owning only what he sat on, and subjugating only what, by order, he could poke his rifle at.

T. E. Lawrence (1926)

Actors in a conflict of interests each come to that conflict with three things: (1) an estimate of the resources immediately available to fight with, relative to a potential adversary's; (2) a plan for the use of those resources in pursuit of a specified objective (strategy); and (3) an estimate of resources potentially available once the battle has been joined (again, relative to a potential adversary's).

Type
Chapter
Information
How the Weak Win Wars
A Theory of Asymmetric Conflict
, pp. 23 - 47
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2005

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