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27 - The Melbourne paper

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 May 2010

Robert Leeson
Affiliation:
Murdoch University, Western Australia
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Summary

Bill Phillips wrote chapter 27 in 1959 while visiting the University of Melbourne, so it is convenient to refer to it as the ‘Melbourne paper’. As he related to Conrad Blyth (1978, xvi-xvii), he had then just finished his 1958 ‘Phillips Curve’ Economica article (chapter 25) which was

a rush job. I had to go off on sabbatical leave to Melbourne; but in that case it was better for understanding to do it simply and not wait too long.

Blyth also explained that ‘Bill himself was not very happy with the stable wage assumption found in popular Keynesian models’. The simple Phillips Curve concept was a first attempt to explain wage inflation and adapt Keynesian models so that they could include the reality of rising prices and wages. While the Melbourne paper was never formally published, it can be argued that it was a big advance on the original Phillips Curve work. Had he gone on with it he might himself have modified the simple Phillips Curve concept in ways which others were subsequently to do. The paper is of considerable interest, but it should be said at the outset that it was a working paper, and that Bill Phillips recognised it to be unfinished. There were data problems, the regression results cited in the endnotes do not include standard errors, Rs or other statistics and the theory was in need of tidying up.

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Chapter
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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2000

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  • The Melbourne paper
  • Edited by Robert Leeson, Murdoch University, Western Australia
  • Book: A. W. H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective
  • Online publication: 04 May 2010
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511521980.029
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  • The Melbourne paper
  • Edited by Robert Leeson, Murdoch University, Western Australia
  • Book: A. W. H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective
  • Online publication: 04 May 2010
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511521980.029
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • The Melbourne paper
  • Edited by Robert Leeson, Murdoch University, Western Australia
  • Book: A. W. H. Phillips: Collected Works in Contemporary Perspective
  • Online publication: 04 May 2010
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511521980.029
Available formats
×