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I - Building block 1: Economic value

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 January 2010

Simon Woolley
Affiliation:
Sources of Value Ltd
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Summary

  1. 1. If your CoC is 10%, what is the present value of $100 in one year's time?

  2. 100 ÷ 1.1 = 90.9

  3. 2. By how much would this change if your CoC was (a) 5% and (b) 15%?

  4. 100 ÷ 1.05 = 95.2 – an increase in value of $4.3m

  5. 100 ÷ 1.15 = 87.0 – a decrease in value of $3.9m

  6. Note that although we changed the CoC by ±5% the change in value was not symmetrical.

  7. 3. What is the present value of $100 in ten years' time if your CoC was (a) 5%, (b) 10% or (c) 15%?

  8. Discount factors for ten years' time are:

  9. 5% CoC Discount factor = 0.614 so present value is 61.4

  10. 10% CoC Discount factor = 0.386 so present value is 38.6

  11. 15% CoC Discount factor = 0.247 so present value is 24.7

  12. 4. An investment offers the potential to earn $10 per annum for the next five years with the first cash flow being in one year's time. If your CoC is 12% what is the maximum amount you should be prepared to pay for the investment?

  13. Discount factors for years 1-5 are: 0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636 0.567

  14. So present value of cash flows is $10m times the sum of these = 36.05

  15. This is the maximum you should be prepared to pay unless there are any other factors to consider that are not mentioned in the question.

  16. […]

Type
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Sources of Value
A Practical Guide to the Art and Science of Valuation
, pp. 571 - 573
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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