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3 - A mangle of machines

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

James D. Malley
Affiliation:
National Institutes of Health, Maryland
Karen G. Malley
Affiliation:
Malley Research Programming, Maryland
Sinisa Pajevic
Affiliation:
National Institutes of Health, Maryland
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Summary

Avoid strange and unfamiliar words as a sailor avoids rocks at sea.

From On Analogy, by Julius Caesar (ca. 54 BCE)

Barring that natural expression of villainy which we all have, the machine looked honest enough.

(With apologies to Mark Twain)

Introduction

Our survey covers learning machines that have been studied intensively and applied widely. We do not focus on detailed discussion of the numerous versions of each, and we barely cover the full spectrum of learning machines now available; see Note 1. The goal of this chapter is to display the set of core ideas that propel each method. We also do not linger over the mathematical details and, as before, we make an effort to sharply limit any viewing of the mathematical details; see Note 2.

Linear regression

A simple classification or prediction method can often be obtained by fitting a linear regression model. It is a very classical and still very important method.

Let the outcome be y and the single predictor be x. Then linear regression of y on x is written as:

y = a + bx,

where the constants a and b have to be estimated from the data. The next step up in generality is to allow for multiple predictors:

x1, x2,…,xk,

where the xi can be any collection of discrete or continuous predictors.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

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