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17 - Time and chance

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 May 2014

T. W. Körner
Affiliation:
University of Cambridge
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Summary

Why are we not all called Smith?

In Section 15.1 we saw that the question of whether the Turing bombes would work depended on whether an effectively random process in which ‘mother statements’ give rise to a certain random number of ‘daughter statements’ which in turn give rise to ‘granddaughter statements’ and so on would die away quickly or give rise to a family containing all (or almost all) possible statements. The bombe problem is complicated by several special features and, though I hope that the discussion of the next two sections will shed some light on it, I shall concentrate on simpler but related problems.

Sir Thomas Browne wrote ‘Generations pass while some trees stand and old families last not three oaks’. (The quotation is taken from Kendall's fascinating papers [114] and [115].) Less concisely, Galton wrote:

The decay of the families of men who occupied conspicuous positions in past times has been a subject of frequent remark, and has given rise to various conjectures. It is not only the families of men of genius or those of the aristocracy who tend to perish, but it is those of all whom history deals, in any way, even such men as the burgesses of towns, …. The instances are very numerous in which surnames that were once common have since become scarce or have wholly disappeared.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1996

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  • Time and chance
  • T. W. Körner, University of Cambridge
  • Book: The Pleasures of Counting
  • Online publication: 05 May 2014
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107050563.018
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  • Time and chance
  • T. W. Körner, University of Cambridge
  • Book: The Pleasures of Counting
  • Online publication: 05 May 2014
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107050563.018
Available formats
×

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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Time and chance
  • T. W. Körner, University of Cambridge
  • Book: The Pleasures of Counting
  • Online publication: 05 May 2014
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107050563.018
Available formats
×