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4 - India and Brazil from 1980 until 2014

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 August 2019

Alexandre de Freitas Barbosa
Affiliation:
University of Sao Paolo, Brazil
Maria Cristina Cacciamali
Affiliation:
University of Sao Paolo, Brazil
Gerry Rodgers
Affiliation:
Institute for Human Development, New Delhi
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Summary

Chapter 4 pursues the approach adopted in Chapter 3 for the period from 1980 to 2014. In the first section, a broad overview of the period is provided for both countries. It connects the political context (the political timeline in Table 4.1.1) with economic policies in the light of the changing growth regimes. The following sections of the chapter successively consider the macro-economics of accumulation and growth (4.2); labour institutions and labour markets (4.3); and the role of the state (4.4), relating them all with the outcomes in terms of inequality.

Political Context, Economic Policies, and Growth Regime

By the end of 1970s, with the global economy in deep crisis and the exhaustion of the Fordist growth regimes in developed countries, both Brazil and India faced turbulent times. In the 1980s, the rise in international interest rates led to a sharp contraction of world trade and a debt crisis in some countries of the periphery, mostly in Latin America and Africa. Growth rates fell around the world, and economic institutions were restructured to serve the interests of the increasingly globalized private sector, especially TNCs and major financial groups, providing the foundations for the subsequent phase of deregulated globalization.

Given the histories of the two countries up to that point, it would seem that Brazil's economy was better placed to face the turbulence. After all, despite weaknesses in the late 1970s, thirty years of high growth in Brazil had laid the foundations of a powerful industrial economy. Meanwhile, India had faced both economic and political crisis with a model that was delivering declining rates of growth and stagnant living standards. But the result was the opposite: India embarked on a period of increasing growth, while Brazil found itself mired in the ‘lost decade’.

In fact, Brazil's ‘success’ was related to its deep integration into the capitalist world economy of the 1960s and 1970s. This can be characterized as subordinated integration, as the country opened its internal market to TNCs and became deeply indebted to commercial banks by taking loans with floating interest rates. In the new context, Brazil's industrial sector was hard hit and the public sector severely affected by the sharp increase in foreign debt. In India, the external crisis was much less intense, largely because the country's ties to the global economy were weaker.

Type
Chapter
Information
Growth and Inequality
The Contrasting Trajectories of India and Brazil
, pp. 85 - 186
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2017

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