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Chapter 4 - Scientific Activity

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Dean Keith Simonton
Affiliation:
University of California, Davis
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Summary

The statistical analyses that dominate the biological, behavioral, and social sciences tend to test the null hypothesis that the empirical results — whether they be mean differences or correlation coefficients — can be attributed to mere chance. By chance alone, it is possible to obtain sample means that look different, even when in the larger population the means are strictly identical. By mere chance, one can obtain correlation coefficients that appear much larger than zero, even when the correlations in the general population are exactly zero. In an analogous fashion, the theoretical interpretations provided in the previous chapter can be said to represent the null hypothesis that chance can account for all the central empirical features of two key behavioral phenomena — scientific productivity and multiple discovery. In this case, however, chance is not sampling error but rather some unspecified combinatorial processes operating within and among creative scientists. Beginning with the postulate that scientific creativity involves the virtually random combination of the phenomena, facts, concepts, variables, constants, techniques, theories, laws, questions, goals, and criteria that define a domain, a host of detailed features of scientific careers and communities can be explained and predicted. There is no need to hypothesize anything more mysterious, whether genius or zeitgeist. Even logic has no part in the explanation. According to Ockham's razor — the law of parsimony — scientists should not make explanations more complicated than required to fit the facts. By this standard, logic, genius, and zeitgeist appear mostly superfluous.

Type
Chapter
Information
Creativity in Science
Chance, Logic, Genius, and Zeitgeist
, pp. 76 - 98
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2004

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  • Scientific Activity
  • Dean Keith Simonton, University of California, Davis
  • Book: Creativity in Science
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139165358.006
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  • Scientific Activity
  • Dean Keith Simonton, University of California, Davis
  • Book: Creativity in Science
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139165358.006
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Scientific Activity
  • Dean Keith Simonton, University of California, Davis
  • Book: Creativity in Science
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139165358.006
Available formats
×