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11 - The Science of Intelligence: Reflections on a Field That Never Was

from PART 3 - INTELLIGENCE, POLITICS, AND OVERSIGHT

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Wilhelm Agrell
Affiliation:
Lund University
Gregory F. Treverton
Affiliation:
RAND Corporation
Gregory F. Treverton
Affiliation:
RAND Corporation, California
Wilhelm Agrell
Affiliation:
Lunds Universitet, Sweden
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Summary

In May 1939, a young British Ph.D. in physics from Oxford, R. V. Jones, was approached by a staff member of Sir Henry Tizard's Committee for the Scientific Survey of Air Defence. Britain was, in this period, ahead of most other nations in integrating the academic scientific community and defense research and development (R&D), as illustrated by the lead that the Royal Air Force enjoyed in radar technology over the main adversary, Germany. However, as war drew closer, the Committee had experienced a problem regarding intelligence or, rather, the lack of intelligence: the British services simply were unable to collect material that might provide any insight into German efforts to apply science in aerial warfare. Jones was offered the task of looking into this problem and he accepted – by coincidence, agreeing to start his new job on September 1, the fateful day that Germany invaded Poland.

Jones's experience underscores the central theme of this book. Our purpose in surveying the state of research on intelligence is not only to suggest promising topics or even to promote better understanding by academics and others of what intelligence does – although later in the chapter we assemble some of the research suggestions that derive from the assessments of the book's chapters. Rather, our ultimate purpose is also to improve the practice of intelligence.

Type
Chapter
Information
National Intelligence Systems
Current Research and Future Prospects
, pp. 265 - 280
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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References

Jones, R. V., Most Secret War: British Scientific Intelligence 1939–1945 (London: Coronet Books, 1979), p. 1.Google Scholar
Beckman, Sven, Svenska kryptobedrifter (Swedish Accomplishments in Cryptology), (Stockholm: Albert Bonniers Förlag, 1996), p. 167.Google Scholar
Wohlstetter, Albert, Economic and Strategic Considerations in Air Base Location: A Preliminary Review (Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation, 29 December 1951)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dulles, Allen, The Craft of Intelligence (New York: Harper & Row, 1963), p. 154.Google Scholar
Day, Dwayne A., Logsdon, John M., and Latell, Brian (eds.), Eye in the Sky: The Story of the Corona Spy Satellite (Washington: Smithsonian Institution Press, 1998).
Kent, Sherman, Strategic Intelligence for American World Policy (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1949).Google Scholar
Agrell, Wilhelm, When Everything Is Intelligence, Nothing Is Intelligence (Washington: Central Intelligence Agency, Kent Center Occasional Papers, 2003).Google Scholar
Laqueur, Walter, World of Secrets: The Use and Limits of Intelligence (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1985), p. 302Google Scholar
Marrin, Stephen, Intelligence Analysis: Turning a Craft into a Profession, Proceedings of the 2005 International Conference on Intelligence Analysis, McLean, VA, May 2005.Google Scholar
Johnston, Rob, Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community: An Ethnograpic Study (Washington: Central Intelligence Agency Center for the Study of Intelligence, 2005. xiii.Google Scholar
Treverton, Gregory F. and Gabbard, C. Bryan, Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis (Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation, 2008).Google Scholar
Barger, Deborah G., Toward a Revolution in Intelligence Affairs (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2005)CrossRefGoogle Scholar

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