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9 - Will we have enough food?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 March 2013

Bjørn Lomborg
Affiliation:
Aarhus Universitet, Denmark
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Summary

Food is perhaps the most important single resource for humanity, since our very existence depends on it. It is a renewable resource, but still a scarce resource, potentially under pressure from the increasing population.

Lester Brown from Worldwatch Institute has throughout the last 30 years of population increase claimed that agricultural production could no longer keep up and that now prices would start increasing. As we have seen in the preceding chapter, this has not happened. In the 1998 edition of The State of the World, Figure 48 was produced as evidence. Most people would probably see a general downwards tendency undermining the previous predictions of crises and price hikes. But instead the data are used to prove that prices are turning and now on their way up:

The long-term decline in the real price of wheat, the world's leading food staple, that has been under way since mid-century may have bottomed out during the 1990s. After dropping to a recent low of $3.97 per bushel in 1993, the price increased in each of the next three years, reaching $5.54 per bushel in 1996, a rise of 39 percent. While future year-to-year price changes will sometimes be down, as may be the case in 1997, this analysis indicates that the long-term trend is likely to be up.

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Chapter
Information
The Skeptical Environmentalist
Measuring the Real State of the World
, pp. 93 - 109
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2001

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  • Will we have enough food?
  • Bjørn Lomborg, Aarhus Universitet, Denmark
  • Book: The Skeptical Environmentalist
  • Online publication: 05 March 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139626378.012
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  • Will we have enough food?
  • Bjørn Lomborg, Aarhus Universitet, Denmark
  • Book: The Skeptical Environmentalist
  • Online publication: 05 March 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139626378.012
Available formats
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  • Will we have enough food?
  • Bjørn Lomborg, Aarhus Universitet, Denmark
  • Book: The Skeptical Environmentalist
  • Online publication: 05 March 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139626378.012
Available formats
×