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Belief change and possibility theory

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 September 2009

Peter Gärdenfors
Affiliation:
Lunds Universitet, Sweden
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Summary

INTRODUCTION

In the last five years, there has been much concern in Artificial Intelligence about the problem of belief revision. A rather exciting feature of the on-going debate is that it has led to an interaction between fields which usually ignore each other, such as logic, probability theory, fuzzy set and possibility theory, and their epistemological underpinnings. In his book, Gärdenfors (1988) emphasizes in a convincing way that notions of epistemic state can be defined in the framework of logic as well as in the one of probability theory and that similar postulates can be put forward in the two settings, for the purpose of devising rational updating operations that take place upon the arrival of new pieces of information. On the other hand Spohn (1988), in trying to refine the logical notion of epistemic state, viewed as a consistent and deductively closed set of propositions, comes close to Shackle's (1961) notions of degrees of potential surprise, as well as Zadeh's (1978) possibility theory. However he proposes revision rules that are in some way in accordance with probability theory where probabilities only take infinitesimal values (Spohn, 1990). Besides, one of the main outcomes of Gärdenfors' logical theory of belief change is that any revision process underlies an ordering of propositions that form the epistemic state; the rationality postulates force this ordering to satisfy specific properties, and the only numerical set-functions that can account for these properties are the so-called necessity measures that play a basic role in possibility theory (Dubois and Prade, 1988).

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Belief Revision , pp. 142 - 182
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1992

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