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4 - Theory

Why Countries Vary in Their Participation in the Belt and Road Initiative

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 November 2023

Richard W. Carney
Affiliation:
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
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Summary

To explain countries’ varying participation in the Belt and Road Initiative, this chapter begins with a discussion of recipient country characteristics that impact the demand for Chinese spending, including the political regime, clientelism, and the public-private orientation of the corporate sector. It then discusses the supply-side factors that influence Chinese foreign spending, including the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), state-owned entities (e.g., SOEs), and private firms. Finally, it evaluates the compatibility of these demand and supply characteristics. The key prediction is that electoral autocracies will display the strongest compatibility with Chinese foreign construction spending. This is amplified when the leaders of these regimes have a weak or insecure hold on power. Electoral autocracies are also predicted to be the most avid adopters of Chinese standards stemming from their eagerness for Chinese infrastructure spending.

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Chapter
Information
China's Chance to Lead
Acquiring Global Influence via Infrastructure Development and Digitalization
, pp. 73 - 107
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2023

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  • Theory
  • Richard W. Carney, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Book: China's Chance to Lead
  • Online publication: 02 November 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009385879.004
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  • Theory
  • Richard W. Carney, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Book: China's Chance to Lead
  • Online publication: 02 November 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009385879.004
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Theory
  • Richard W. Carney, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Book: China's Chance to Lead
  • Online publication: 02 November 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009385879.004
Available formats
×