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Chapter 2

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 May 2022

R. John Aitken
Affiliation:
University of Newcastle, New South Wales
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Summary

A journey into the demographic heart of the matterDespite 300 years of unrelenting population growth, the world is now witnessing an unprecedented decline in human fertility. Counterintuitively, the global population continues to grow because infant mortality rates are low, lifespan is increasing, and population momentum is high. The net effect of all these factors acting together is that while global fertility rates are falling, the world’s population will level off at around 11 billion by 2100. After this zenith has been reached, the population is projected to go into rapid decline and develop a ‘super-aged’ structure. The wealthiest nations on Earth will not, as at present, be able to bolster their populations with skilled immigration programs because the traditional wellsprings of humanity, such as India, China, and Africa, will be suffering their own depopulation crises. As a result, by the end of the century, a vast majority of countries will be exhibiting fertility rates below replacement level with little chance of stabilization. Indeed, the major drivers for global fertility decline are only intensifying with the passage of time in the wake of increased global prosperity. This raises fundamental questions about the nature of these drivers and whether they can be controlled.

Type
Chapter
Information
The Infertility Trap
Why life choices impact your fertility and why we must act now
, pp. 11 - 53
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2022

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References

2.7 References

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  • Chapter 2
  • R. John Aitken, University of Newcastle, New South Wales
  • Book: The Infertility Trap
  • Online publication: 05 May 2022
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108935593.003
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  • Chapter 2
  • R. John Aitken, University of Newcastle, New South Wales
  • Book: The Infertility Trap
  • Online publication: 05 May 2022
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108935593.003
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Chapter 2
  • R. John Aitken, University of Newcastle, New South Wales
  • Book: The Infertility Trap
  • Online publication: 05 May 2022
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108935593.003
Available formats
×