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3 - Historical Legacies

Hysteresis versus Critical Juncture

from Part II - Choice of Strategy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 May 2020

Oleh Havrylyshyn
Affiliation:
Carleton University, Ottawa
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Summary

Four major forces played a role in determining whether a country moved rapidly in the transformation: historical legacy; reform commitment by leaders; the role of specialist technocrats; and external influences. This chapter addresses the historical legacies that affected the strategy and speed of transition, be they inertia or return to earlier history. While in general being closer to Western Europe and today’s European Union, or having a shorter history of communism tended to propel countries toward more rapid reforms, there were many exceptions on both sides of the divide. Thus, Bulgaria, Serbia, and Romania initially moved far more slowly. Farther east, Russia, Kyrgyzstan, and to some extent Armenia initially moved far faster on economic reforms that others in the USSR – although this was effort was soon aborted. The chapter also asks how related historical issues affected economic reform speed: the occurrence of wars or civil conflicts (Yugoslav republics, Armenia and Azerbaijan, and Tajikistan); and the role of nationalism – sometimes positive (the Baltics and Ukraine), sometimes negative (Armenia and Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Moldova).

Type
Chapter
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Present at the Transition
An Inside Look at the Role of History, Politics, and Personalities in Post-Communist Countries
, pp. 65 - 82
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2020

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  • Historical Legacies
  • Oleh Havrylyshyn, Carleton University, Ottawa
  • Book: Present at the Transition
  • Online publication: 04 May 2020
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108553834.007
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  • Historical Legacies
  • Oleh Havrylyshyn, Carleton University, Ottawa
  • Book: Present at the Transition
  • Online publication: 04 May 2020
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108553834.007
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Historical Legacies
  • Oleh Havrylyshyn, Carleton University, Ottawa
  • Book: Present at the Transition
  • Online publication: 04 May 2020
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108553834.007
Available formats
×