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2 - Hypothesis Tests

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 February 2022

Timothy DelSole
Affiliation:
George Mason University, Virginia
Michael Tippett
Affiliation:
Columbia University, New York
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Summary

The previous chapter considered the following problem: given a distribution, deduce the characteristics of samples drawn from that distribution. This chapter goes in the opposite direction: given a random sample, infer the distribution from which the sample was drawn. It is impossible to infer the distribution exactly from a finite sample. Our strategy is more limited: we propose a hypothesis about the distribution, then decide whether or not to accept the hypothesis based on the sample. Such procedures are called hypothesis tests. In each test, a decision rule for deciding whether to accept or reject the hypothesis is formulated. The probability that the rule gives the wrong decision when the hypothesis is true leads to the concept of a significance level. In climate studies, the most common questions addressed by hypothesis test are whether two random variables (1) have the same mean, (2) have the same variance, or (3) are independent. This chapter discusses the corresponding tests for normal distributions, called the (1) t-test (or difference-in-means test), (2) F-test (or difference-in-variance test), and (3) correlation test.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2022

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  • Hypothesis Tests
  • Timothy DelSole, George Mason University, Virginia, Michael Tippett, Columbia University, New York
  • Book: Statistical Methods for Climate Scientists
  • Online publication: 03 February 2022
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108659055.003
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  • Hypothesis Tests
  • Timothy DelSole, George Mason University, Virginia, Michael Tippett, Columbia University, New York
  • Book: Statistical Methods for Climate Scientists
  • Online publication: 03 February 2022
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108659055.003
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Hypothesis Tests
  • Timothy DelSole, George Mason University, Virginia, Michael Tippett, Columbia University, New York
  • Book: Statistical Methods for Climate Scientists
  • Online publication: 03 February 2022
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108659055.003
Available formats
×