Book contents
- Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis
- Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Policy Analysis: An Overview
- Part I Making Decisions that Maximize Utility
- 2 Preferences and the Idea of Utility
- 3 Benefit–Cost Analysis
- 4 Decision Analysis
- 5 Valuing Intangibles and Other Non-Market Outcomes
- 6 Multi-Attribute Utility Theory and Multi-Criteria Decision Making
- 7 Preferences over Time and across Space
- Part II Some Widely Used Analysis Tools and Topics
- Part III How Individuals and Organizations Actually Make Decisions
- Part IV The Policy Process and S&T Policy (Mainly) in the United States
- Book part
- Index
- References
4 - Decision Analysis
from Part I - Making Decisions that Maximize Utility
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 24 August 2017
Book contents
- Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis
- Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Policy Analysis: An Overview
- Part I Making Decisions that Maximize Utility
- 2 Preferences and the Idea of Utility
- 3 Benefit–Cost Analysis
- 4 Decision Analysis
- 5 Valuing Intangibles and Other Non-Market Outcomes
- 6 Multi-Attribute Utility Theory and Multi-Criteria Decision Making
- 7 Preferences over Time and across Space
- Part II Some Widely Used Analysis Tools and Topics
- Part III How Individuals and Organizations Actually Make Decisions
- Part IV The Policy Process and S&T Policy (Mainly) in the United States
- Book part
- Index
- References
Summary
A summary is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Theory and Practice in Policy AnalysisIncluding Applications in Science and Technology, pp. 93 - 117Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2017
References
Brown, R.V. (2005). Rational Choice and Judgment: Decision Analysis for the Decider, Wiley-Interscience, 245pp.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, R.V. (2012). “Decision Theory as an Aid to Private Choice,” Judgment and Decision Making, 7(2), pp. 207–223.Google Scholar
Brown, R.V., Kahr, A.S., and Peterson, C. (1974). Decision Analysis: An Overview, Holt, Rinehart & Winston, 89pp.Google Scholar
Clemen, R.T. (1996). Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analysis, Duxbury Press, 664pp.Google Scholar
Dyer, J.S. (1990). “Remarks on the Analytic Hierarchy Process,” Management Science, 36, pp. 249–258.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hammond, J.S., Keeney, R.L., and Raiffa, H. (1999). Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions, Harvard Business School Press, 244pp.Google Scholar
Harker, P.T. and Vargas, L.G. (1990). “Reply to ‘Remarks on the Analytic Hierarchy Process’ by J.S. Dyer,” Management Science, 36, pp. 269–273.Google Scholar
Henrion, M. (2012). Lumina Corporation website. www.lumina.com/technology/influence-diagrams.Google Scholar
Howard, R.A. and Matheson, J.E. (eds.) (1984). The Principles and Applications of Decision Analysis, 2 vols., Strategic Decisions Group, 955pp.Google Scholar
Howard, R.A. and Matheson, J.E. (2005). “Influence Diagrams,” Decision Analysis, 2(3), pp. 127–143.Google Scholar
Howard, R.A., Matheson, J.E., and North, D.W. (1972). “The Decision to Seed Hurricanes,” Science, 176, pp. 1191–1202.Google Scholar
Keefer, D.L. and Bodily, S.E. (1983). “Three Point Approximations for Continuous Random Variables,” Management Science, 29, pp. 595–609.Google Scholar
Keeney, R.L. (1982). “Decision Analysis: An Overview,” Operations Research, 30, pp. 803–837.Google Scholar
Klima, K., Morgan, M.G., Grossmann, I., and Emanuel, K. (2011). “Does It Make Sense to Modify Tropical Cyclones? A Decision Approach,” Environmental Science & Technology, 45(10), pp. 4242–4248.Google Scholar
Manski, C.F. (2013). Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions, Harvard University Press, 199pp.Google Scholar
Miller, A.C., Merkhofer, M.W., Howard, R.A., Matheson, J.E., and Rice, T.R. (1976). Development of Automated Aides for Decision Analysis, Technical Report, Stanford Research Institute, 214pp.Google Scholar
Miller, A.C. and Rice, T.R. (1983). “Discrete Approximations of Continuous Distributions,” Management Science, 29, pp. 352–362.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morgan, M.G., Fischhoff, B., Bostrom, A., and Atman, C. (2002). Risk Communication: A Mental Models Approach, Cambridge University Press, 351pp.Google Scholar
Morgan, M.G. and Henrion, M. with Small, M. (1990). Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 332pp. (Paperback edition 1992. Latest printing (with revised chapter 10) 1998.)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raiffa, H. (1968). Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices under Uncertainty, Addison-Wesley, 309pp.Google Scholar
Raiffa, H. and Schlaifer, R. (1961). Applied Statistical Decision Theory, Division of Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, Harvard University, 356pp.Google Scholar
Saaty, T.L. (1990). “An Exposition on the AHP in Reply to the Paper ‘Remarks on the Analytic Hierarchy Process,’” Management Science, 36, pp. 259–268.Google Scholar
Smith, J., Holtzman, E.S., and Matheson, J.E. (1993). “Structuring Relationships in Influence Diagrams,” Operations Research, 41(2), pp. 280–297.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tani, S.N. (1978). “Decision Analysis of the Synthetic Fuels Commercialization Program,” AFIPS, International Workshop on Managing Requirements Knowledge, pp. 23–29.Google Scholar
von Winterfeldt, D. and Edwards, W. (1986). Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research, Cambridge University Press, 604pp.Google Scholar
Watson, S.R. and Buede, D.M. (1988). Decision Synthesis: The Principles and Practice of Decision Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 299pp.CrossRefGoogle Scholar