Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-8ctnn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-20T17:09:54.207Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The American Voter in 1932: Evidence from a Confidential Survey

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 July 2018

Helmut Norpoth*
Affiliation:
Stony Brook University

Abstract

In 1932, the American electorate was surveyed in a poll that has languished in the archives. The survey was conducted by Houser Associates, a pioneer in market research. It interviewed face-to-face a representative cross section about voter choices and issue attitudes. Although conducted on behalf of the Hoover campaign, the poll was not biased in his favor. The most striking revelation is that the electoral sway of the Depression was quite limited. The government was not seen by most voters as the major culprit or as having been ineffective in alleviating it. Even many FDR voters agreed. Moreover, there was no widespread “doom and gloom” about the future. What loomed larger in 1932 was the issue of Prohibition. The American people overwhelmingly favored repeal. The Democratic stand on it—that is, outright repeal—was a sure electoral winner, given Hoover’s staunch defense of Prohibition.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2018 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E.. 1960. The American Voter. New York: John Wiley and Sons.Google Scholar
Converse, Jean M. 1987. Survey Research in the United States: Roots and Emergence 1890–1960. Berkeley: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Eisinger, Robert M. 2003. The Evolution of Presidential Polling. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Freidel, Frank. 1971. “Election of 1932: FDR.” In The Coming to Power: Critical Elections in American History, ed. Schlesinger, Arthur M. Jr., 322–54. New York: Chelsea House Publishers.Google Scholar
Houser, J. David. 1927. What the Employer Thinks: Executives’ Attitudes toward Employees. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Houser, J. David. 1931-1932. “Scientific Polling,” archived under Presidential Papers-Secretary’s File. Herbert Hoover Presidential Library-Museum, West Branch, Iowa.Google Scholar
Houser, J. David. 1932. “Digest,” archived under Campaign of 1932, Polls. Herbert Hoover Presidential Library-Museum, West Branch, Iowa.Google Scholar
Lazarsfeld, Paul F., Berelson, Bernard, and Gaudet, Hazel. 1948. The People’s Choice: How the Voter Makes up his Mind in a Presidential Campaign, 2nd edition. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Jacoby, William G., Norpoth, Helmut, and Weisberg, Herbert F.. 2008. The American Voter Revisited. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
New York Times. 1932a. Front Page, July 3.Google Scholar
New York Times. 1932b. “Roosevelt Is Victor in Final Digest Poll.” November 4.Google Scholar
New York Times. 1932c. Front Page, November 9.Google Scholar
Robinson, Clyde E. 1932a. Straw Votes: A Study of Political Prediction. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Robinson, Clyde E. 1932b. “Analysis of the Straw Votes: The Roosevelt Tide Assayed.” New York Times, October 16.Google Scholar
Stegmaier, Mary, and Lewis-Beck, Michael S.. 2013. “Economic Voting.” In Oxford Bibliographies in Political Science, ed. Valelly, R.. New York: Oxford University Press. http://www.oxfordbibliographies.com/page/political-scienceGoogle Scholar
Whyte, Kenneth. 2017. Hoover: An Extraordinary Life in Extraordinary Times. New York: Alfred A. Knopf.Google Scholar