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Forecasting the 2018 Midterm Election using National Polls and District Information

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 October 2018

Joseph Bafumi ,
Robert S. Erikson  and
Christopher Wlezien Open the ORCID record for Christopher Wlezien [Opens in a new window]
Joseph Bafumi
Affiliation:
Dartmouth College
Robert S. Erikson
Affiliation:
Columbia University
Christopher Wlezien
Affiliation:
University of Texas at Austin
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Abstract

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Type
Politics
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 51 , Special Issue S1: Forecasting the 2018 US Midterm Elections , October 2018 , pp. 7 - 11
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2018 

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References

REFERENCES

Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2008. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls.” In Elections and Exit Polling, ed. Alvey, Wendy and Scheuren, Fritz. New York: Wiley and Sons, 118–23.Google Scholar
Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010a. “Balancing, Generic Polls, and Midterm Congressional Elections.” Journal of Politics 72 (3): 705–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2010b. “Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Elections.” PS: Political Science & Politics 43 (4): 633–36.Google Scholar
Bafumi, Joseph, Erikson, Robert S., and Wlezien, Christopher. 2014. “National Polls, District Information, and House Seats: Forecasting the 2014 Midterm Election.” PS: Political Science & Politics 47 (1): 775–78.Google Scholar
Chen, Jowei, and Rodden, Jonathan. 2013. “Unintentional Gerrymandering: Political Geography and Electoral Bias in Legislatures.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 8 (3): 239–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Gary C. 2015. “It’s Nothing Personal: The Decline of the Incumbency Advantage in US House Elections.” Journal of Politics 77 (3): 861–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar