Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-lvtdw Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-08-15T04:42:14.322Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Does Demand and Price Uncertainty affect Belgian and Spanish Corporate Investment?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 August 2016

Marga Peeters*
Affiliation:
Econometric Research and Special Studies Department De Nederlandsche Bank NV**
Get access

Summary

This paper investigates empirically the influence of uncertainty on corporate investment. Uncertainty of demand, output prices and investment prices are measured by the standard deviation of (pre-)filtered Belgian (1984-1992) and Spanish (1983-1993) panel data, and included as explanatory variables in the investment equations derived from a neo-classical model with financial constraints. GMM-results indicate that investment behaviour towards output price uncertainty differs significantly in conjecture with a firm’s size and leverage.

Résumé

Résumé

Cet article étudie empiriquement l’influence de l’incertitude sur les investissements d’entreprise. L’incertitude de la demande, les prix de vente et les prix d’investissement sont mesurés par des déviations standards de données préfiltrées de paniers belges et espagnoles. Ils sont repris comme variables explicatives pour le comportement d’investissement d’entreprises dans un modèle néo-classique avec contraintes financières. L’impact de l’incertitude des prix de vente sur l’investissement y varie fortement d’après la taille de l’entreprise.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de recherches économiques et sociales 2001 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

*

This paper was initiated when I was working as a fellow at the Bank of Spain. I thank Francisco de Castro for excellent assistence on the Spanish data and Fernando Barrán for his advice on the Belgian data. For comments on the paper I want to thank Javier Vallés, two anonymous referees, Bob Chirinko, Vivek Ghosal, David López-Salido, Olympia Bover, Juan Dolado, Jeffrey Franks and José Viñals. All errors are mine.

**

P.O. Box 98, 1000 AB Amsterdam, The Netherlands, e-mail: H.M.M.Peeters@DNB.NL

References

Arellano, M. and Bond, S. (1988), “Dynamic Panel Data Estimation using DPD – A guide for users”, Working Paper, no. 88/15, London Google Scholar
Arellano, M. and Bond, S. (1991), “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations”, Review of Economic Studies, 58, pp. 277297 Google Scholar
Banks, J. and Blundell, R. and Brugiavini, A. (1994), “Income Uncertainty and Consumption Growth in the UK”, Working Paper Institute for Fiscal Studies, DecemberGoogle Scholar
Barran Cabrera, F. (1996), “Monetary Policy and Credit Constraints”, Unpublished thesis, Université Catholique de Louvain Google Scholar
Internal Finance and Corporate Investment: Belgian Evidence with Panel Data, Economic Modelling, 15, pp. 6789 Google Scholar
Bo, H. (1998), The Q Theory of Investment: does uncertainty matter?, Department of Economics, University of Groningen, The Netherlands Google Scholar
Bond, S. and Meghir, C. (1994), “Dynamic Investment Models and the Firm’s Financial Policy”, Review of Economic Studies, 61, pp. 197222 Google Scholar
Bourdieu, J. and Coeuré, B. (1996), Uncertainty and Investment Behavior: Evidence from French Firms, mimeo, INSEE, Paris Google Scholar
Caballero, R.J. (1991), “On the Sign of the Investment-Uncertainty Relationship”, American Economic Review, 81, pp. 279288 Google Scholar
Chirinko, R.S., Fazzari, S.M. and Meyer, A.P. (1999), “How Responsive is Business Capital Formation to its User Costs? An Exploration with Micro Data”, Journal of Public Economics, 74, pp. 5380 Google Scholar
Dixit, A. and Pindyck, R.S. (1994), Investment under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey Google Scholar
Estrada, A. and Valles, J. (1995), Investment and Financial Costs: Spanish Evidence with Panel Data, Banco de España, Documento de Trabajo no. 9506 Google Scholar
Ferderer, J.P. (1993), “The Impact of Uncertainty on Aggregate Investment Spending: An empirical analyses”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 25, pp. 3048 Google Scholar
Fries, S., Miller, M. and Perraudin, W. (1997), “Debt in Industry Equilibrium”, The Review of Financial Studies, 10, pp. 3967 Google Scholar
Ghosal, V. (1991), “Demand Uncertainty and the Capital-Labor Ratio: Evidence from the U.S. Manufacturing Sector”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 76, pp. 157161 Google Scholar
Ghosal, V. (1995), “Input Choices under Price Uncertainty”, Economic Inquiry, 33, pp. 142158 Google Scholar
Ghosal, V. (1996), “Price Uncertainty and Output Concentration”, Review of Industrial Organization, 10, pp. 749767 Google Scholar
Ghosal, V. and Loungani, P. (1996), “Product Market Competition and the Impact of Price Uncertainty on Investment: Some Evidence from US Manufacturing Industries”, Journal of Industrial Economics, 44, pp. 217228 Google Scholar
Ghosal, V. and Loungani, P. (2000), “The Differential Impact of Uncertainty on Investment in Small and Large Businesses, forthcoming in Review of Economics and Statistics Google Scholar
Guiso, L. and Parigi, G. (1999), “Investment and Demand Uncertainty, Quarterly Journal of Economics, February, pp. 185227 Google Scholar
Klein, B. (1977), “The Demand for Quality-adjusted Cash Balances: Price Uncertainty in the U.S. Demand for Money Function, Journal of Political Economy, 85, 41, pp. 691715 Google Scholar
Leahy, J.V. and Whited, T.M. (1996), “The Effect of Uncertainty on Investment: Some Stylized Facts, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 28Google Scholar
Nickell, S.J. (1978), The investment decision of firms, Cambridge University Press Google Scholar
Ramey, G. and Ramey, V. (1995), “Cross-Country Evidence on the Link Between Volatility and Growth, American Economic Review, 85, pp. 11381151 Google Scholar
Whited, T.M. (1994), Problems with Identifying Adjustment Costs from Regressions of Investment on q, Economics Letters, 46, pp. 327332 Google Scholar