Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-84b7d79bbc-g5fl4 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-30T03:14:34.639Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

8 - On Knowledge and Models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 January 2013

Bert J. M. de Vries
Affiliation:
Universiteit Utrecht, The Netherlands
Get access

Summary

Introduction

Sustainability science: The word science suggests pursuit of ‘scientific knowledge’. But what is scientific knowledge? Let us have a closer look at what the acquisition of scientific knowledge is in practice. Suppose you are concerned about air pollution and set up an experiment to measure the concentration of substance X in a well-defined area. The measuring tool is itself a specimen of scientific development. The result of your experiment is a series of concentration values at given location p and time t, c(p,t). Building upon atmospheric physics and chemistry, you interpret the results in terms of dynamic cause-and-effect processes. Such a description, framed in the formal language of mathematics, is called a scientific model.

You realise that it is actually the impact of air pollution that matters, so you decide to explore impact on the forest in the area. With the help of ecologists, you do additional experiments and extend the model. The concentration values c(p,t) are now inputs to descriptions of the various trees in the forest. They are a measure of the exposure of the simulated trees to external factors. Because the tree dynamics are relatively slow, longitudinal experiments have to be set up (>5 years). The result of these experiments are an indication of the sensitivity of the various trees for the particular exposure c(p,t).

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2012

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

A helpful guide about the status of scientific knowledge and the philosophy of science from a natural science perspective.
Chalmers, R.What Is this Thing Called Science?, 3rd. ed. Queensland University Press/Open University Press, 1999.Google Scholar
An interesting collection of controversial views of U.S. authors, clarifying divergent worldviews.
Easton, T.Taking Sides – Clashing Views on Environmental Issues, 11th ed. Contemporary Learning Series. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2006.Google Scholar
This paper gives sixteen reasons, other than prediction, to build models.
Epstein, J. Why Model? (2008). jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/4/12.html.
A thorough introduction into the philosophy of science from a social science perspective.
Hollis, M.The Philosophy of Science – An introduction. New York: Cambridge University Press 2007.Google Scholar
A systematic introduction into what complexity is on the basis of a set of concepts and theories in 20th-century science.
Mitchell, M.Complexity – A Guided Tour. New York: Oxford University Press, 2009.Google Scholar
Contributions and applications in the field of sustainable development, notably ecology and anthropology.
Norberg, J., and Cummings, G., eds. Complexity Theory for a Sustainable Future. New York: Columbia University Press, 2008.
A not uncontroversial but concise introduction in the rationale for a post-normal science.
Ravetz, J. The No-Nonsense Guide to Science. Oxford: New Internationalist, 2006.
An inspiring exploration of complexity in a variety of models and systems.
Solé, R., and Goodwin, B.. Signs of Life – How Complexity Pervades Biology. New York: Basic Books, 2000.Google Scholar
An introduction into environmental modelling with a stepwise introduction of complex system approaches.
Wainwright, J., and M. Mulligan, , eds. Environmental Modelling – Finding Simplicity in Complexity. London: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., 2004.Google Scholar
Already in 1995, over 30 definitions of complexity were given (Horgan (1995). For detailed discussions, see, for instance, the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation (jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×