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Preface

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 August 2012

Sidney Redner
Affiliation:
Boston University
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Summary

You arrange a 7 P.M. date at a local bistro. Your punctual date arrives at 6:55, waits until 7:05, concludes that you will not show up, and leaves. At 7:06, you saunter in – “just a few minutes” after 7 (see Cover). You assume that you arrived first and wait for your date. The wait drags on and on. “What's going on?” you think to yourself. By 9 P.M., you conclude that you were stood up, return home, and call to make amends. You explain, “I arrived around 7 and waited 2 hours! My probability of being at the bistro between 7 and 9 P.M., P(bistro, t), was nearly one! How did we miss each other?” Your date replies, “I don't care about your occupation probability. What matteredwas your first-passage probability, F(bistro, t), which was zero at 7 P.M. GOOD BYE!” Click!

The moral of this juvenile parable is that first passage underlies many stochastic processes in which the event, such as a dinner date, a chemical reaction, the firing of a neuron, or the triggering of a stock option, relies on a variable reaching a specified value for the first time. In spite of the wide applicability of first-passage phenomena (or perhaps because of it), there does not seem to be a pedagogical source on this topic. For those with a serious interest, essential information is scattered and presented at diverse technical levels. In my attempts to learn the subject, I also encountered the proverbial conundrum that a fundamental result is “well known to (the vanishingly small subset of) those who know it well.”

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Chapter
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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2001

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  • Preface
  • Sidney Redner, Boston University
  • Book: A Guide to First-Passage Processes
  • Online publication: 05 August 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511606014.001
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  • Preface
  • Sidney Redner, Boston University
  • Book: A Guide to First-Passage Processes
  • Online publication: 05 August 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511606014.001
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Preface
  • Sidney Redner, Boston University
  • Book: A Guide to First-Passage Processes
  • Online publication: 05 August 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511606014.001
Available formats
×